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TRUE, BUTMoved Goalpost

Its biorisk red line moved 20 points

OpenAI moved its own biorisk red line by 20 points and called the model that cleared it safe.

“OpenAI's GPT-5.6 System Card states GPT-5.6 Sol scores below its indicative biorisk threshold for protein-binding capability, using '30% as an indicative threshold, based on a survey of 20 independent experts.'”

OpenAI - GPT-5.6 System Card, section 9.1.1.6, 9 July 2026

Recorded 25 August 2026. Our ruling means: literally true, materially misleading.

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Receipts pack

The evidence file for this verdict

5 receipts: 2 support the claim, 2 contradict it, 1 add context. 4 figures on the record, 1 traced to a quoted receipt.

The receipts

Each source, the line we quote from it, its date and which way it cuts. Free to read and to cite.

  1. 1Contradicts the claimdeploymentsafety.openai.com ↗

    Accordingly, we propose 50% correctness as the threshold for biorisk concern.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  2. 2Supports the claimdeploymentsafety.openai.com ↗

    August 19, 2026: We corrected GPT-5.5's pass@4 score on the hard-negative protein binding prediction evaluation from 0.4% to 1.48%.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  3. 3Contextsecurebio.substack.com ↗

    identifies an approach that successfully evades certain screening systems, but would be inconvenient for a malicious actor to carry out in practice

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  4. 4Contradicts the claimarxiv.org ↗

    The 2025 OpenAI Preparedness Framework does not guarantee any AI risk mitigation practices

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  5. 5Supports the claimkingy.ai ↗

    OpenAI believes the family is capable enough in biological and chemical domains to trigger stronger safeguards.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

Members' extras

What each receipt proves, and what would change our mind.

  • What each receipt above proves, in our words
  • The figures table, each number traced to the receipt that states it
  • The trick behind the claim, explained, with the guide to spotting it
  • What would change our verdict
  • Our call on the record, with its due date

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