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TRUE, BUTHeadline Over Filing

It loses $1.22 per dollar it earns

For every dollar the company earns, it loses $1.22. Its gross margin is falling, not rising, as revenue grows. HSBC estimates it needs another $207 billion in capital by 2030.

“OpenAI targets a $1 trillion+ IPO valuation despite losing approximately $1.22 for every $1 in revenue.”

OpenAI (per pre-S-1 reporting, confidential filing June 2026)

Recorded 18 August 2026. Our ruling means: literally true, materially misleading.

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Receipts pack

The evidence file for this verdict

6 receipts: 2 support the claim, 3 contradict it, 1 add context. 6 figures on the record, 3 traced to a quoted receipt.

The receipts

Each source, the line we quote from it, its date and which way it cuts. Free to read and to cite.

  1. 1Supports the claimindmoney.com ↗

    The company lost approximately $1.22 for every dollar it earned.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  2. 2Contradicts the claimindmoney.com ↗

    Gross margin fell from 40% in 2024 to 33% in 2025 despite 3x revenue growth.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  3. 3Contradicts the claimindmoney.com ↗

    HSBC estimates $207B+ additional capital needed by 2030.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  4. 4Contextindmoney.com ↗

    Capping total payments at $38 billion through 2030, down from $135 billion.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  5. 5Contradicts the claiminvesting.com ↗

    The company is spending at extraordinary levels, faces fierce competition, depends heavily on infrastructure partners.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

  6. 6Supports the claimaitoolsrecap.com ↗

    The ~$3.7B cash burn is the amount of actual money that left the company in Q1.

    Look up an archived copy ↗

Members' extras

What each receipt proves, and what would change our mind.

  • What each receipt above proves, in our words
  • The figures table, each number traced to the receipt that states it
  • The trick behind the claim, explained, with the guide to spotting it
  • What would change our verdict
  • Our call on the record, with its due date

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