Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts · chapter 2 · id thinking-in-bets-c2-03-we-process-information-through
“We process information through 'motivated reasoning' -- unconsciously seeking to confirm what we already believe rather than objectively evaluating evidence.”
VERIFIEDconfidence: high⚠ extracted by pipeline, re-audit pending
Receipts
Kunda (1990), 'The case for motivated reasoning,' Psychological BulletinDOI registry: valid
People access, construct, and evaluate beliefs in a biased fashion, guided by their goals and desires. Motivation affects reasoning through biased memory search, biased belief construction, and biased evaluation of evidence.
Nature Communications Psychology (2023), 'The replication crisis has led to positive structural, procedural, and community changes'DOI registry: valid
Motivated reasoning remains among the better-replicated findings in cognitive psychology, surviving the broader replication crisis that affected many social psychology results.
This claim is a stable, citable object. If you can falsify a verdict, tell us. Corrections are loud here.