Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts · chapter 3 · id thinking-in-bets-c3-03-beliefs-are-shaped-more-by-tri
“Beliefs are shaped more by tribal identity and motivated reasoning than by objective evidence evaluation -- we are 'belief-forming machines' that rationalize after the fact.”
VERIFIEDconfidence: high⚠ extracted by pipeline, re-audit pending
Receipts
Kunda (1990), 'The case for motivated reasoning,' Psychological BulletinDOI registry: valid
Motivation affects reasoning through biased memory search, biased belief construction, and biased evaluation of evidence.
Kahan (2017), 'Misconceptions, Misinformation, and the Logic of Identity-Protective Cognition,' Cultural Cognition Project, YaleDOI registry: valid
Identity-protective cognition causes individuals to selectively credit or dismiss evidence based on whether it supports or threatens beliefs central to their cultural identity.
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