Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts · chapter 4 · id thinking-in-bets-c4-07-jury-deliberation-research-sho
“Jury deliberation research shows mixed results on bias correction -- deliberation sometimes reduces individual biases but can also amplify them when a majority favors a particular verdict.”
TRUE, BUTconfidence: high⚠ extracted by pipeline, re-audit pending
Receipts
PMC (2022), 'Sources of bias in juror decision making'source alive
Contrary to court assumptions, bias correction is unlikely when a majority favors a particular verdict. Deliberations often lead to an increase in bias.
Purdue University, '45 Years of Empirical Research on Jury Decision Making'source alive
Mock jury studies suggest deliberation facilitates higher levels of reasoning and more accurate decisions compared to individual decision-making, but group deliberation leads to more optimal decisions only in difficult legal cases.
PMC (2022), 'Verdict spotting: investigating juror bias, evidence anchors and verdict system'source alive
Racial diversity in juries can reduce racial bias in verdicts and improve group performance during deliberation.
This claim is a stable, citable object. If you can falsify a verdict, tell us. Corrections are loud here.